The following are six decision mistakes (traps) that smart people have made that lead to avalanche deaths:
Social Facilitation: Once a behavior is established as a social norm, it increases the probability of others engaging in that behavior.
Expert Halo: They must be right, they are the expert. Would look foolish if questioned.
Consistency: A form of commitment: every moment you continue on a given path, the greater your investment in continuing onward.
Scarcity: Use it or lose it; Take the opportunity before it’s gone (or someone else takes it). Also FOMO: Fear of Missing Out.
Acceptance: We want admission into the group, to be a part of the team, a recognized member in good standing. “Making waves” could possibly threaten our status as a peer.
Familiarity: Tendency to relax when in a recognized territory or well-known situation (or think we are…)
“The blatancy of the hazard in avalanche accidents would be understandable if most victims had little understanding of avalanches. Unfortunately, this does not seem to be the case.” – “Heuristic Traps in Recreational Avalanche Accidents: Evidence and Implications” – Ian McCammon, 2004
“He who joyfully marches in rank and file has already earned my contempt. He has been given a large brain by mistake, since for him the spinal cord would suffice.” – Albert Einstein, 1879-1955
“A ‘no’ uttered from the deepest conviction is better and greater that a ‘yes’ merely uttered to please, or what is worse, to avoid trouble.” – Mahatma Gandhi, 1869 – 1948
As always, I share what I most want and need to learn. – Nathan S. Collier